Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005789 0.006631 0.007604 0.008828 0.010343 0.012182 0.014623
2025-11-16 0.004503 0.005490 0.006740 0.008484 0.010921 0.014326 0.019678
2025-11-23 0.003936 0.005009 0.006458 0.008638 0.011990 0.017252 0.026896
2025-11-30 0.003462 0.004540 0.006064 0.008489 0.012500 0.019428 0.033950
2025-12-07 0.003070 0.004117 0.005650 0.008198 0.012667 0.021029 0.040809
2025-12-14 0.002801 0.003832 0.005389 0.008085 0.013085 0.023210 0.050411
2025-12-21 0.002661 0.003720 0.005372 0.008364 0.014277 0.027431 0.069007
2025-12-28 0.002567 0.003664 0.005433 0.008784 0.015860 0.033300 0.100258
2026-01-04 0.002434 0.003530 0.005343 0.008903 0.016836 0.038186 0.136647
2026-01-11 0.002286 0.003357 0.005164 0.008815 0.017317 0.041971 0.176773
2026-01-18 0.002172 0.003228 0.005049 0.008834 0.018065 0.047091 0.241552
2026-01-25 0.002037 0.003055 0.004833 0.008609 0.018133 0.049977 0.302597
2026-02-01 0.001874 0.002831 0.004522 0.008173 0.017640 0.051000 0.360345
2026-02-08 0.001743 0.002652 0.004281 0.007866 0.017461 0.053398 0.460046
2026-02-15 0.001677 0.002584 0.004242 0.008006 0.018623 0.062834 0.808541
2026-02-22 0.001588 0.002467 0.004096 0.007871 0.018916 0.068571 1.252375
2026-03-01 0.001494 0.002334 0.003907 0.007609 0.018729 0.071705 1.786903
2026-03-08 0.001424 0.002242 0.003791 0.007507 0.019058 0.078487 3.215053
2026-03-15 0.001394 0.002220 0.003815 0.007758 0.020727 0.096944 13.923286
2026-03-22 0.001376 0.002218 0.003881 0.008136 0.023065 0.126568 1792.611028
2026-03-29 0.001336 0.002173 0.003849 0.008244 0.024399 0.151798 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001284 0.002102 0.003756 0.008164 0.024925 0.170570 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001244 0.002049 0.003698 0.008182 0.025913 0.199834 NaN